ADA Price Prediction: Navigating Bearish Signals and Long-Term Potential

ADA Price Prediction

ADA Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bearish Pressure Amid Key Support Test

ADA is currently trading at $0.6921, below its 20-day moving average ($0.7387), indicating bearish momentum. The MACD shows a positive but narrowing histogram (0.012184), suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands reveal price testing the lower band ($0.6725), which may act as support. ’ADA needs to hold above $0.6725 to avoid further downside,’ says BTCC analyst Olivia.

Mixed Signals for ADA as Regulatory Delays Offset Ecosystem Growth

While Cardano’s derivatives volume hits $1.85B, the SEC’s ETF delay to July 15 creates uncertainty. ’The market is torn between strong trading activity and regulatory headwinds,’ notes BTCC’s Olivia. Ecosystem growth contrasts with selling pressure and community disputes highlighted in recent headlines.

Factors Influencing ADA’s Price

Cardano Price Prediction – Can Bulls Overcome Bearish Market Structure?

Cardano (ADA) teeters on the edge of a bearish market structure despite signs of accumulation since April. Trading within a narrow range since December, ADA faces critical resistance near long-term lows. Bollinger Bands indicate volatility, yet the token struggles to maintain momentum above key support levels.

The 1-day chart shows a tentative bullish structure after reclaiming $0.68, but recent dips below the 20-period MA signal weakening momentum. On shorter timeframes, ADA tests the $0.73 range boundary as tightening Bollinger Bands foreshadow potential breakout volatility. Market participants await decisive action from bulls to reverse the downward drift.

Cardano Derivatives Trading Volume Surges to $1.85B Amid Mixed Market Signals

Cardano (ADA) derivatives trading volume spiked 40% to $1.85 billion in the past 24 hours, signaling renewed interest from both retail and institutional traders. The surge comes despite a 10.31% drop in open interest to $851 million, suggesting profit-taking activity.

Options volume collapsed 92.94% to just $6,590, indicating reduced hedging demand. Liquidation data reveals $8.4 million in losses, predominantly from long positions, as ADA’s price fell 3.57% to $0.7059 after briefly touching $0.7388.

Market sentiment appears divided. The overall long/short ratio sits at 0.8804, yet Binance and OKX show bullish ratios above 2.5. Analysts are closely watching the $0.70 support level, with a break potentially triggering further downside.

Despite the pullback, Cardano maintains a 75% confidence score. The derivatives activity suggests growing sophistication in ADA markets, even as spot prices face pressure.

SEC Delays Grayscale’s Cardano ETF Decision to July 15, Sparking Market Reaction

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has postponed its decision on Grayscale’s proposed spot Cardano ETF, extending the review period until July 15, 2025. The delay, enacted under Section 19(b)(2) of the Securities Exchange Act, allows additional time for public comments and regulatory assessment of investor protection measures.

Cardano’s native token ADA immediately reacted to the news, dropping nearly 4% to $0.73 as trading volume declined. The SEC’s move also affects Grayscale’s parallel Avalanche ETF application, now scheduled for review on July 13.

Grayscale seeks to convert its existing Cardano Trust into a spot ETF, with the original filing submitted to NYSE Arca in February. The regulatory timeline now extends through October 22, reflecting the SEC’s cautious approach to cryptocurrency investment products.

Cardano (ADA) Faces Selling Pressure Amid Ecosystem Growth

Cardano’s native token ADA has dropped below a critical technical support level, signaling potential further declines. The cryptocurrency fell 4.08% to $0.677, breaching the 50-day moving average at $0.714. Market observers note that sustained trading below this level could push ADA toward $0.60 before finding substantial buying interest.

Despite price weakness, Cardano’s ecosystem continues expanding at a remarkable pace. The network now hosts 2,002 active projects, with recent milestones including the bridging of Bitcoin Ordinals via BitVMX. Development activity remains robust, with over 134,000 Plutus scripts and 6,800 Aiken scripts deployed to date.

The path to recovery appears challenging. ADA must first reclaim $0.74, then overcome resistance at the 200-day moving average of $0.826 to potentially target the psychologically important $1.00 level. Network metrics show resilience, with delegated wallets growing to 1.33 million and active governance participants increasing slightly.

Cardano Founder Denies Allegations of Unauthorized Token Control Amid Community Dispute

Cardano’s ecosystem faces turbulence as founder Charles Hoskinson refutes explosive claims of manipulating the blockchain’s ledger. The allegations, spearheaded by NFT creator Masator Alexander, suggest Hoskinson redirected $600 million in ADA tokens during the 2021 Allegra update without community consent—a charge he attributes to a smear campaign by DeFi protocol Optim Finance.

The controversy coincides with a 38% crash in Optim’s native token O following Hoskinson’s public disassociation. While ADA maintains its position as a top-10 cryptocurrency, the network continues to grapple with stagnant DeFi growth—a stark contrast to its market capitalization.

ADA Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Based on current technicals and market conditions, BTCC analyst Olivia provides these projections:

Note: These estimates assume successful protocol upgrades and favorable regulatory outcomes.